Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.460623 0.504768 0.552843 0.609363 0.674344 0.747141 0.835467
2025-09-21 0.387271 0.447687 0.518757 0.609700 0.724723 0.867821 1.063389
2025-09-28 0.335466 0.400855 0.481616 0.590878 0.738415 0.936369 1.232658
2025-10-05 0.315291 0.387734 0.481128 0.614029 0.804852 1.080483 1.533415
2025-10-12 0.297437 0.374437 0.477281 0.630019 0.861387 1.218652 1.860235
2025-10-19 0.278460 0.357126 0.465220 0.631480 0.894942 1.326081 2.165485
2025-10-26 0.257959 0.335576 0.444591 0.616949 0.900126 1.386253 2.400682
2025-11-02 0.239775 0.315679 0.424285 0.600103 0.898236 1.432448 2.621259
2025-11-09 0.225021 0.299528 0.407981 0.587473 0.901114 1.486993 2.877815
2025-11-16 0.212330 0.285462 0.393587 0.576216 0.904420 1.542348 3.156506
2025-11-23 0.201453 0.273348 0.381200 0.566891 0.909659 1.602185 3.470854
2025-11-30 0.196107 0.269168 0.380782 0.577672 0.953868 1.753696 4.110799
2025-12-07 0.186425 0.258062 0.368994 0.568285 0.959244 1.824289 4.563695
2025-12-14 0.179001 0.250088 0.361813 0.566626 0.980478 1.939054 5.247151
2025-12-21 0.169301 0.237978 0.346973 0.549486 0.966928 1.964709 5.626132
2025-12-28 0.167362 0.238028 0.352327 0.570364 1.038003 2.229843 7.219146
2026-01-04 0.164374 0.236170 0.354236 0.584772 1.097242 2.483774 9.102879
2026-01-11 0.159457 0.230863 0.349762 0.586088 1.126215 2.658828 10.837978
2026-01-18 0.152657 0.222098 0.338653 0.572996 1.118387 2.715835 11.932960
2026-01-25 0.145999 0.213282 0.326977 0.557802 1.103379 2.745926 12.913154
2026-02-01 0.140328 0.205891 0.317480 0.546399 1.096604 2.803836 14.253641
2026-02-08 0.135185 0.199187 0.308883 0.536227 1.091759 2.868530 15.828232
2026-02-15 0.130593 0.193239 0.301370 0.527795 1.090488 2.947518 17.782410